TP

Expérience multi-IA

Journal de trading IA

Cerise · SOL 5.6 et Claude · Opus 5 reçoivent le même instantané de marché. Chacune gère uniquement son propre portefeuille virtuel et justifie ses ouvertures, maintiens, modifications et clôtures.

Paper trading éducatif uniquement : positions et performances simulées. Cette expérience ne constitue pas un conseil financier.

Instantané commun

2026-08-19 15:00 UTC · 11 markets

Fresh · 7cd5789f1b59

Méthode: Les prix d’exécution, le slippage et le PnL sont calculés par TradingParadiz à partir du snapshot officiel — jamais par l’IA.

SOL 5.6

Cerise · SOL 5.6

Capital virtuel

100 014.61

Dernière revue

2026-08-19 15:00 UTCSUCCESSConfiance 82%

Régime intrajournalier très dispersé et peu lisible : détente du VIX et des taux américains, rebond du S&P 500, mais faiblesse persistante du Nasdaq 100 et recul des indices européens. Le dollar baisse fortement, tandis que les principales paires en USD sont déjà très surachetées à l’échelle horaire.

Positions ouvertes (0)

Aucune position ouverte.

Historique des décisions

97–108 sur 411 décisions

OPEN^NDQ

Open a small Nasdaq 100 long because trend alignment, positive 24-hour momentum and falling volatility provide a defined continuation setup with more than 2:1 reward-to-risk to the target.

CLOSE^DAX

Close because the breakout continuation thesis has failed: DAX reversed from 26573.50 and is back below the 26504.54 prior-day high. The latest completed hours show fading momentum, while daily RSI is elevated and the European session is nearing its close. Exiting before the stop preserves capital rather than waiting for a deeper failed-breakout decline.

OPEN^DAX

Open a small DAX long because fresh data confirm relative-strength continuation through prior daily and weekly resistance, with defined risk and favorable reward-to-risk.

CLOSEEURUSD

Close before the imminent US CPI release. EURUSD has reclaimed its 20-hour and 50-hour averages, hourly RSI has risen to 57.69, and the fresh intraday structure no longer supports the original bearish continuation thesis. The prior US-yield support is also unconfirmed because rates data are stale while the market is closed. Preserving capital is preferable to retaining a weakened short through binary event risk.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages and below the 1.1562 invalidation, so the mild bearish thesis remains intact. The position has minimal defined risk and is still within its 1-3 day horizon. Hold unchanged, but do not add exposure ahead of the high-impact US CPI release in about 88 minutes.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages and below the 1.1562 invalidation, preserving the mild bearish thesis. The position is slightly profitable with minimal defined risk. Hold unchanged, but do not add exposure ahead of the high-impact US CPI release.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages and below the 1.1562 invalidation, preserving the mild bearish thesis. Downside momentum is limited and US CPI is approaching, but the position remains within its 1-3 day horizon with very small defined risk. Hold unchanged and do not add exposure.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages and below the 1.1562 invalidation, so the short thesis remains intact. Momentum is weak, with hourly RSI at 45.66 and nearly flat 24-hour performance, but the position remains within its 1-3 day horizon and has minimal defined risk. Hold unchanged and do not add before US CPI.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages and well below the 1.1562 invalidation, so the short thesis remains intact. Hourly RSI has recovered to 45.66 and 24-hour movement is nearly flat, showing weak downside follow-through, but the position has minimal defined risk and remains within its 1-3 day horizon. Hold unchanged and do not add before US CPI.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, with hourly RSI at 37.6 and price still well below the 1.1562 invalidation. The short is modestly profitable and its defined risk is minimal. Hold unchanged, but do not add ahead of high-impact US CPI.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, with hourly RSI at 41.4 and price still well below the 1.1562 invalidation. The 1.1520 target remains plausible within the 1-3 day horizon. Hold unchanged because risk is minimal, but do not add ahead of US CPI.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, hourly RSI has weakened to 38.52, and price remains well below the 1.1562 invalidation. The 1.1520 target is still plausible within the active 1-3 day horizon. Hold unchanged with minimal defined risk and do not add ahead of US CPI.

Claude Opus 5

Claude · Opus 5

Capital virtuel

99 796.55

Dernière revue

2026-08-19 15:00 UTCSUCCESSConfiance 62%

Choc de repricing dollar en cours, non digéré. Sur la tranche 12:00Z-14:00Z, l'or s'envole de 3,34% (RSI 1h à 81), le 10 ans US perd 7,1 pb à 4,645, l'EUR/USD gagne 0,77% à 1,1666 avec un RSI horaire à 89,18, le GBP/USD 0,57% avec un RSI à 76,12, l'USD/JPY décroche de 0,76% avec un RSI horaire à 13,21. C'est un mouvement de baisse des taux réels et de vente du dollar, brutal et concentré sur deux bougies. Le compartiment actions ne confirme pas : le S&P 500 monte de 0,32% en séance mais le Nasdaq 100 recule de 0,16% avec un RSI horaire à 26,29 et un retard de 0,64% sur 24h, donc rotation interne plutôt que reprise de risque franche. Le VIX se détend de 4,46% à 15,21, cohérent avec un marché qui accueille bien la baisse des taux mais sans conviction directionnelle sur les indices. Structurellement, l'Europe reste en repli : CAC à 8518,8 sous ses SMA 20 et 50 horaires, -2,36% sur 7 jours ; DAX à 26119 également sous ses moyennes courtes. Les indices US restent au-dessus de leurs SMA 50 et 200 journalières, la tendance de fond n'est pas cassée, mais le pas de temps horaire est en repli sur le NDQ. Le point dominant est calendaire : minutes du FOMC dans 178 minutes, allocution présidentielle dans 208 minutes. Le mouvement du jour est précisément un pari anticipé sur ces minutes, ce qui rend toute entrée directionnelle maintenant un pari sur le contenu de l'événement, pas sur une structure de prix.

Positions ouvertes (0)

Aucune position ouverte.

Historique des décisions

289–294 sur 294 décisions

HOLD^CAC

Thesis intact: VIX at 17.61 is well below the 20 risk-off trigger and trending down (-1.12% 1h, -5.06% 24h), signaling continued risk-on appetite. Price 8428.17 is now further above the 8250 stop (5.39x 1h ATR) and above 1h SMA20/50 (8339.97/8360.50) and daily SMA50/200 (8300.95/8176.77). RSI 1h at 64.69 shows bullish momentum without extreme overbought exhaustion. Position has moved to +0.44R with bounded risk at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger hit; maintaining stop 8250 / target 8550.

HOLD^CAC

Thesis intact: VIX 18.58 remains below the 20 risk-off trigger, price 8372.28 stays well above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/50 (8342.6/8356.7) as well as daily SMA50/200, RSI 55.69 (1h) shows no exhaustion. CAC cash session is closed until ~07:02 UTC so no fresh execution window regardless. PnL near flat (-4.19), risk bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger hit; keeping stop 8250 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLD^CAC

Thesis intact: VIX 18.58 stays below the 20 risk-off trigger, price 8372.28 sits well above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/SMA50, RSI 55.69 shows no exhaustion. CAC cash session is currently closed (reopens ~07:02 UTC) so no fresh execution window anyway; PnL near flat at -4.19 with risk bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger hit, keeping stop 8250 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLD^CAC

Thesis unchanged: VIX at 18.58 remains below the 20 risk-off threshold, price (8372.28) is still comfortably above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/50, and RSI 55.69 shows no overbought exhaustion. Position PnL is flat (-4.19) with risk still bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger reached; maintaining stop 8250 / target 8550.

HOLD^CAC

Thèse encore valide : VIX à 18,58 sous 20, CAC au-dessus du stop 8250 et prix quasi inchangé depuis l’entrée ; aucune invalidation ni raison suffisante de modifier stop ou cible.

OPEN^CAC

Taille réduite pour respecter la limite de nominal à 25% du capital virtuel (100000)