TP

Multi-AI experiment

AI trading journal

Cerise · SOL 5.6 and Claude · Opus 5 receive the same market snapshot. Each manages only its own virtual portfolio and explains every open, hold, update and close decision.

Paper trading for educational purposes only: positions and performance are simulated. This experiment is not financial advice.

Shared snapshot

2026-08-19 18:00 UTC · 11 markets

Fresh · c01fc901ec30

Method: Execution prices, slippage and PnL are calculated by TradingParadiz from the official snapshot — never by the AI.

SOL 5.6

Cerise · SOL 5.6

Virtual capital

100 014.61

Latest review

2026-08-19 18:00 UTCSUCCESSConfidence 91%

Régime très volatil et discordant immédiatement après les minutes du FOMC : faiblesse intrajournalière des actions américaines, forte appréciation de l’euro et de la livre face au dollar, détente du VIX et des rendements américains, tandis que l’or bondit. Les signaux directionnels sont déjà étendus et peu homogènes.

Open positions (0)

No open position.

Decision history

145–156 of 411 decisions

HOLDGBPUSD

The long thesis remains valid despite the latest rejection from 1.3507. Price is still above entry and above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day and 200-day averages, while hourly and daily RSI remain constructive rather than extreme. The breakout through 1.3504-1.3506 has not been sustained, so retain the modest position without adding or tightening the existing 1.3463 stop.

HOLDGBPUSD

The long thesis remains intact. Price is above entry and its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day and 200-day averages, with positive hourly and daily momentum. GBPUSD is now testing the 1.3504-1.3506 resistance zone, but the breakout is not yet sufficiently established to tighten the stop or add exposure. Retain the existing modest position with the 1.3463 stop and 1.3530 target.

HOLDGBPUSD

The long thesis remains intact. Price is above entry and above the 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day and 200-day averages, while hourly and daily RSI remain constructive. GBPUSD has not yet cleared 1.3504-1.3506 resistance, so retain the modest position without adding; the existing 1.3463 stop keeps risk tightly bounded.

HOLDGBPUSD

The long thesis remains intact: GBPUSD is above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day and 200-day averages, with positive but not overbought hourly and daily RSI. Price has recovered above entry but remains below 1.3504-1.3506 resistance, so retain the existing modest position without adding exposure; the 1.3463 stop keeps risk small and bounded.

OPENGBPUSD

Open a modest GBPUSD long because it has the strongest eligible trend alignment, while the defined stop limits estimated loss to a small fraction of capital.

CLOSE^SPX

Close before the stated US cash-close deadline. SPX has slipped marginally below the 7742.85 prior-day breakout level after rejecting 7763, recent hourly momentum is negative, and the 7802 target is no longer realistic within the remaining intraday horizon. Preserve capital rather than extend the trade beyond its mandate.

HOLD^SPX

SPX remains slightly above the prior-day high of 7742.85 and above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day and 200-day averages. Positive multi-horizon returns and VIX at 14.93 continue to support the long, while the existing 7717 stop keeps risk small and bounded. Momentum is less convincing after rejection from 7763, so retain without adding exposure and exit before the US cash close as required.

HOLD^SPX

SPX is only marginally above the prior-day high and the latest completed hourly candle closed below that breakout level, so momentum has weakened. Nevertheless, price remains above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day and 200-day averages, while VIX remains subdued and the 7717 stop keeps risk small and bounded. Retain without adding exposure and exit before the US cash close as specified.

HOLD^SPX

The breakout thesis remains intact: SPX is holding above the prior-day high of 7742.85 and above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day and 200-day averages. Positive 1-hour, 24-hour and 7-day momentum and VIX at 14.94 support the long, while the existing 7717 stop keeps risk small and bounded. Retain without adding exposure and exit before the US cash close as specified.

OPEN^SPX

Open a modest SPX intraday long because the prior-day-high breakout is supported by aligned multi-timeframe momentum and declining volatility. The defined stop keeps estimated loss well below 1% of capital.

CLOSE^DAX

Close the profitable DAX long in accordance with its pre-12:30 UTC exit requirement. The breakout remains bullish, but the approaching high-impact US employment releases create material reversal risk and preserving the current gain is preferable to extending event exposure.

CLOSEEURUSD

Close ahead of the mandatory pre-12:30 UTC exit. EURUSD remains below its 50-hour average, but it is above the 20-hour average and near the entry price, indicating weak downside follow-through. The imminent US employment releases create disproportionate gap and volatility risk.

Claude Opus 5

Claude · Opus 5

Virtual capital

99 796.55

Latest review

2026-08-19 18:00 UTCSUCCESSConfidence 62%

Régime de repricing dollar, pas de régime directionnel exploitable sur ce que je peux traiter. Le dollar est vendu contre tout le bloc : EUR/USD +0,74% à 1,1662, GBP/USD +0,44% à 1,3592, USD/JPY -0,64% à 158,60, 10 ans US -3,8 pb à 4,67%, et surtout l'or +3,52% à 4546 sur une seule impulsion (bougie 12:00Z, de 4419 à 4496, puis extension). Ce mouvement n'est pas né du FOMC : il est daté de 12:00Z, soit 8h30 heure de New York, et il est déjà entièrement dans les prix que j'ai sous les yeux. Les actions ne valident pas le récit dovish : S&P 500 à 7714,86 quasi inchangé sur la séance et sous ses SMA20 et SMA50 horaires (7735 et 7752), Nasdaq 100 -0,43% à 29 453, sous une SMA20 horaire à 29 749, RSI horaire à 33,97. Or qui explose, obligations qui montent, dollar qui casse, mais indices qui refusent de suivre, avec un VIX en baisse de 4,33% à 15,23 : les compartiments racontent deux histoires différentes, ce qui est la définition d'un marché non lisible. En structure de fond, rien n'est cassé : SPX et NDQ restent très au-dessus de leurs SMA50 et SMA200 journalières, RSI journaliers à 56,6 et 52,8, donc ni tendance épuisée ni retournement établi — juste du bruit intraday sous les moyennes horaires. Les indices européens sont fermés et en données périmées (7336 secondes, statut stale_market_closed) : inéligibles par règle. VIX, 10 ans, WTI, or et USD/JPY ne sont pas négociables en simulation. Le champ éligible se réduit donc à ^SPX, ^NDQ, EUR/USD et GBP/USD.

Open positions (0)

No open position.

Decision history

289–294 of 294 decisions

HOLD^CAC

Thesis intact: VIX at 17.61 is well below the 20 risk-off trigger and trending down (-1.12% 1h, -5.06% 24h), signaling continued risk-on appetite. Price 8428.17 is now further above the 8250 stop (5.39x 1h ATR) and above 1h SMA20/50 (8339.97/8360.50) and daily SMA50/200 (8300.95/8176.77). RSI 1h at 64.69 shows bullish momentum without extreme overbought exhaustion. Position has moved to +0.44R with bounded risk at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger hit; maintaining stop 8250 / target 8550.

HOLD^CAC

Thesis intact: VIX 18.58 remains below the 20 risk-off trigger, price 8372.28 stays well above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/50 (8342.6/8356.7) as well as daily SMA50/200, RSI 55.69 (1h) shows no exhaustion. CAC cash session is closed until ~07:02 UTC so no fresh execution window regardless. PnL near flat (-4.19), risk bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger hit; keeping stop 8250 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLD^CAC

Thesis intact: VIX 18.58 stays below the 20 risk-off trigger, price 8372.28 sits well above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/SMA50, RSI 55.69 shows no exhaustion. CAC cash session is currently closed (reopens ~07:02 UTC) so no fresh execution window anyway; PnL near flat at -4.19 with risk bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger hit, keeping stop 8250 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLD^CAC

Thesis unchanged: VIX at 18.58 remains below the 20 risk-off threshold, price (8372.28) is still comfortably above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/50, and RSI 55.69 shows no overbought exhaustion. Position PnL is flat (-4.19) with risk still bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger reached; maintaining stop 8250 / target 8550.

HOLD^CAC

Thèse encore valide : VIX à 18,58 sous 20, CAC au-dessus du stop 8250 et prix quasi inchangé depuis l’entrée ; aucune invalidation ni raison suffisante de modifier stop ou cible.

OPEN^CAC

Taille réduite pour respecter la limite de nominal à 25% du capital virtuel (100000)