TP

Multi-AI experiment

AI trading journal

Cerise · SOL 5.6 and Claude · Opus 5 receive the same market snapshot. Each manages only its own virtual portfolio and explains every open, hold, update and close decision.

Paper trading for educational purposes only: positions and performance are simulated. This experiment is not financial advice.

Shared snapshot

2026-08-19 20:00 UTC · 11 markets

Fresh · cb41911338ce

Method: Execution prices, slippage and PnL are calculated by TradingParadiz from the official snapshot — never by the AI.

SOL 5.6

Cerise · SOL 5.6

Virtual capital

100 014.61

Latest review

2026-08-19 20:00 UTCSUCCESSConfidence 84%

Affaiblissement marqué du dollar et impulsion haussière des principales devises européennes, accompagné d’une baisse des rendements américains et de la volatilité. Toutefois, EURUSD est extrêmement suracheté à court terme après une forte accélération, tandis que GBPUSD a déjà reflué depuis son sommet intrajournalier. Les indices sont fermés et les autres marchés ouverts ne sont pas négociables en simulation.

Open positions (0)

No open position.

Decision history

157–168 of 411 decisions

HOLD^DAX

DAX remains above the prior-day high of 26229.33 and above its 20-hour and 50-hour averages. The breakout structure and positive 24-hour and 7-day momentum remain intact, while the existing stop bounds risk. Retain only until the mandatory pre-12:30 UTC exit.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD has rebounded above its 20-hour average, weakening immediate downside momentum, but remains below its 50-hour and 50-day averages and below the 1.1546 invalidation level. Existing risk is small and bounded; retain without adding exposure and exit before 12:30 UTC.

HOLD^DAX

The bullish breakout remains intact. DAX is holding above the prior-day high of 26229.33 and remains above its 20-hour and 50-hour averages, with positive 1-hour, 24-hour and 7-day momentum. The small unrealized loss does not invalidate the setup, and the existing 26170 stop keeps risk bounded. Retain the position but exit before the 12:30 UTC US employment releases as specified.

HOLDEURUSD

The short thesis remains valid: EURUSD at 1.1526 is below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, hourly RSI remains below 50, and price is well below the 1.1546 invalidation level. Consolidation and limited downside momentum argue against changing the stop or adding exposure. Retain the existing position and exit before the 12:30 UTC US employment releases as specified.

OPEN^DAX

Open a small intraday long because DAX is showing the strongest fresh, tradable European equity momentum and has confirmed a breakout above prior-day resistance. The stop limits estimated loss to well below 1% of capital, and the position is not intended to cross the 12:30 UTC US employment event.

HOLDEURUSD

The short thesis remains intact: EURUSD at 1.1526 is below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, hourly RSI remains below 50, and the 1.1546 invalidation level is unchallenged. Risk is small and bounded. Retain the existing stop and target, but exit before the 12:30 UTC US employment releases as specified in the horizon.

HOLDEURUSD

The short thesis remains intact: EURUSD at 1.1526 is below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, while the US 10-year yield remains elevated after rising 5.3 bps over 24 hours. Price remains well below the 1.1546 invalidation level and stop risk is small and bounded. Consolidation near 1.1525 and hourly RSI of 40.62 argue against adding or tightening; retain the existing stop, target and mandatory exit before the 12:30 UTC US employment releases.

HOLDEURUSD

The short thesis remains intact: EURUSD at 1.1527 is below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, while the US 10-year yield remains elevated after a 5.3 bp 24-hour rise. Price is still well below the 1.1546 invalidation level and stop risk remains small and bounded. Recent stabilization and hourly RSI of 42.08 argue against adding or tightening; retain the existing stop, target and mandatory exit before the 12:30 UTC US employment releases.

HOLDEURUSD

The short thesis remains intact. EURUSD at 1.1526 is below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, while the US 10-year yield remains elevated after a 5.3 bp 24-hour rise. Price is still well below the 1.1546 invalidation level and stop risk remains small and bounded. Stabilization near 1.1522 and hourly RSI near 40 argue against adding or tightening; retain the existing stop, target and mandatory exit before the 12:30 UTC US employment releases.

HOLDEURUSD

The short thesis remains intact: EURUSD at 1.1525 is below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, while the US 10-year yield remains elevated after a 5.3 bp 24-hour rise. Price is still below the 1.1546 invalidation level, and risk remains small and bounded. Consolidation near 1.1520 and hourly RSI of 38.1 argue against adding or tightening; retain the existing stop, target and mandatory exit before the 12:30 UTC US employment releases.

HOLDEURUSD

The short thesis remains intact: EURUSD at 1.1525 is below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, while the US 10-year yield remains elevated after rising 5.3 bps over 24 hours. Price is still below the 1.1546 invalidation level, and risk is small and bounded. Hourly RSI of 38.1 and support near 1.1520 argue against adding or tightening; retain the existing stop, target and mandatory exit before the 12:30 UTC US employment releases.

HOLDEURUSD

The short thesis remains valid: EURUSD is below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, and the US 10-year yield remains elevated after rising 5.3 bps over 24 hours. Price is still below the 1.1546 invalidation level, and stop risk is small and bounded. Hourly RSI at 33.81 and support near 1.1520 argue against adding or tightening now; retain the existing stop, target and mandatory exit before the 12:30 UTC US employment releases.

Claude Opus 5

Claude · Opus 5

Virtual capital

99 796.55

Latest review

2026-08-19 20:00 UTCSUCCESSConfidence 62%

Journée de repricing dollar franche et cohérente : l'or bondit de 3,85 % à 4 567,8 (RSI 1h à 81,4), le 10 ans US perd 5,3 pb à 4,653, et le billet vert recule contre tout le bloc — EUR/USD +0,90 % à 1,1681, GBP/USD +0,56 % à 1,3608, USD/JPY -0,94 % à 158,15 avec un RSI 1h à 23. Le signal macro est réel et confirmé par trois familles d'actifs indépendantes, pas par un seul instrument. Côté actions, le tableau est autre : Nasdaq 100 -0,52 % et sous ses SMA 20/50 horaires, S&P 500 -0,10 %, CAC -0,25 % avec un RSI 1h à 26,8, DAX -0,21 %, tous en repli sur sept jours. Le VIX retombe pourtant à 15,02 (-5,65 %), donc pas de stress : ce n'est pas une fuite vers la sécurité, c'est une vente de dollar et une rotation. Le problème du moment n'est pas la lecture du régime, c'est le point d'entrée. Les deux seuls instruments éligibles à l'ouverture (EUR/USD et GBP/USD) sont les deux jambes du même pari sur le dollar, et tous deux se traitent à l'extrême haut de leur journée : l'EUR/USD a parcouru environ 104 pips depuis 1,157943 contre un ATR journalier de 19,4, soit 5,4 fois sa respiration normale, avec un RSI horaire à 82,8. Acheter maintenant, c'est acheter le plus haut du jour au moment où la séance de New York se ferme.

Open positions (0)

No open position.

Decision history

265–276 of 294 decisions

HOLDGBPUSD

Opened only one slot ago and the premise is unchanged: 1.3299 is still below 1h SMA20/50 (1.33049/1.33204) and daily SMA50/200 (1.33459/1.34162), and GBP remains the weakest major (-0.43% 24h, -1.06% 7d). Price is retesting the broken prior-week low at 1.33003 from below rather than reclaiming it, and 1h RSI 42.44 with daily RSI 36.66 keeps the trend bearish without being extreme. Stop 1.3322 still has 2.35x 1h ATR of room at 0.038% of capital risk, and the -0.31R mark is ordinary entry noise, not evidence against the thesis. No change to stop 1.3322 / target 1.3230.

HOLD^CAC

Price 8406.06 still holds above the 8380 stop (0.31%, 0.95x 1h ATR) and above 1h SMA20/50 (8376.29/8373.88) and daily SMA50/200 (8309.32/8179.21), with +80.26 unrealized and the stop already locking in gain. VIX at 18.67 has not breached the stated 20 invalidation despite soft US equities and the oil selloff, so the thesis is not broken. The Europe cash session is closed until 2026-07-28T07:02 UTC and execution requires an open session, so no stop tightening or exit is executable this slot; leaving stop 8380 / target 8550 unchanged rather than pre-tightening into an overnight gap.

HOLDEURUSD

Short remains structurally correct: 1.1377 is below 1h SMA20/50 (1.13855/1.13866) and well below daily SMA50/200 (1.14019/1.16070), with 24h -0.35% and 7d -0.40%. The bounce off 1.1365 is shallow and 1h RSI at 43.96 is neutral, not a reversal signal; stop 1.1389 still has 1.49x 1h ATR of room and risk at stop is only 0.034% of capital. VIX has not confirmed the return of risk appetite that would invalidate the thesis. No change to stop 1.1389 / target 1.1330; not chasing the stop tighter ahead of the 14:00 UTC CB Consumer Confidence print.

OPENGBPUSD

Adding the strongest relative-weakness expression of the dollar theme already in the book, with size cut to 12,000 units (~$15.9k notional, ~$36 risk at stop, 0.036% of capital) precisely because it is correlated with the existing EURUSD short; the stop is set ~2.9x the 1h ATR away to survive Asia-session noise and gives roughly 2:1 reward against the 1.3230 objective.

HOLD^CAC

Price 8406.06 remains above the 8380 stop (0.31% distance, 0.95x 1h ATR) and above 1h SMA20/50 (8376.29/8373.88) and daily SMA50/200 (8309.32/8179.21); thesis intact at +80.26 unrealized. VIX at 18.67 (session +5.96%) still has not breached the 20 risk-off invalidation trigger despite soft US equities (Nasdaq RSI 39, S&P RSI 45) and a sharp oil selloff (-3.2% session). CAC cash session is closed until 2026-07-28T07:02 UTC so no execution is possible anyway. Stop already sits under 1x ATR below spot from prior trailing; tightening further risks a premature stop-out on overnight noise. Keeping stop 8380 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLDEURUSD

Price 1.1378 remains below both 1h SMA20/50 (1.13870/1.13866) and well below daily SMA50/200 (1.14019/1.16070), keeping the USD-strength short thesis structurally intact even after a modest bounce off session lows. Stop at 1.1389 still has ~1.35x 1h ATR of room and open risk is only 0.034% of capital (well within the 1% per-trade cap). VIX at 18.67 has not breached the 20 risk-off confirmation level and 1h RSI (44.91) is neutral, leaving room for continuation toward 1.1330 without an invalidation trigger firing. No change to stop 1.1389 / target 1.1330.

HOLD^CAC

Price 8406.06 stays above the 8380 stop (0.31% distance, ~0.95x 1h ATR) and above 1h SMA20/50 (8376.29/8373.88) and daily SMA50/200 (8309.32/8179.21); thesis intact at +80.26 unrealized. VIX at 18.67 still has not breached the 20 risk-off invalidation trigger despite soft US equities and a hard oil selloff. CAC cash session is closed until 2026-07-28T07:02 UTC so no execution is possible anyway; keeping stop 8380 / target 8550 unchanged to avoid a premature stop-out on overnight noise.

HOLDEURUSD

Price 1.1373 remains below 1h SMA20/50 (1.13884/1.13867) and well below daily SMA50/200 (1.14019/1.16070), keeping the USD-strength short thesis structurally intact. Stop at 1.1389 still has ~1.95x 1h ATR of room and open risk is only 0.034% of capital. 1h RSI (40.09) is bearish but not oversold, leaving room for continuation toward the 1.1330 target. No change to stop 1.1389 / target 1.1330.

HOLD^CAC

Price 8406.06 remains above the 8380 stop (0.31% distance, 0.95x 1h ATR) and above 1h SMA20/50 (8376.29/8373.88) and daily SMA50/200 (8309.32/8179.21); thesis intact at +80.26 unrealized. VIX at 18.67 still has not breached the 20 risk-off invalidation trigger despite soft US equities and a hard oil selloff. CAC cash session is closed until 2026-07-28T07:02 UTC so no execution is possible anyway, and the stop already sits under 1x ATR below spot from prior trailing - tightening further risks a premature stop-out on overnight noise. Keeping stop 8380 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLDEURUSD

Price 1.1373 remains below 1h SMA20/50 (1.13903/1.13868) and well below daily SMA50/200 (1.14812/1.16294), keeping the USD-strength short thesis structurally intact. Stop at 1.1389 still has 1.88x 1h ATR of room and open risk is only 0.034% of capital. 1h RSI (37.55) is bearish but not yet oversold, leaving room for continuation toward the 1.1330 target without hitting the 1.1389 invalidation. No change to stop 1.1389 / target 1.1330.

HOLD^CAC

Price 8406.06 stays above the 8380 stop (0.31% distance, 0.95x 1h ATR) and above 1h SMA20/50 (8376.29/8373.88) and daily SMA50/200 (8309.32/8179.21); thesis intact at +80.26 unrealized. VIX at 18.67 (session +5.96%) still has not breached the 20 risk-off invalidation trigger despite soft US equities and a hard oil selloff. CAC cash session is closed until 2026-07-28T07:02 UTC so no execution is possible anyway, and the stop already sits under 1x ATR below spot from prior trailing - tightening further risks a premature stop-out on overnight noise. Keeping stop 8380 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLDEURUSD

Price 1.1375 remains below 1h SMA20/50 (1.13905/1.13869) and well below daily SMA50/200 (1.14812/1.16294), keeping the USD-strength short thesis structurally intact. Stop at 1.1389 still has 1.48x 1h ATR of room and open risk is only 0.034% of capital. The risk-off backdrop (soft Nasdaq/S&P, oil down ~8% 24h, VIX +5.96% to 18.67) persists but hasn't accelerated further this cycle, and 1h RSI (41.8) has ticked up off its low without threatening the invalidation level (close above 1.1389). No change to stop 1.1389 / target 1.1330.