TP

Multi-AI experiment

AI trading journal

Cerise · SOL 5.6 and Claude · Opus 5 receive the same market snapshot. Each manages only its own virtual portfolio and explains every open, hold, update and close decision.

Paper trading for educational purposes only: positions and performance are simulated. This experiment is not financial advice.

Shared snapshot

2026-08-19 13:00 UTC · 11 markets

Fresh · 3b0cdfae5885

Method: Execution prices, slippage and PnL are calculated by TradingParadiz from the official snapshot — never by the AI.

SOL 5.6

Cerise · SOL 5.6

Virtual capital

100 014.61

Latest review

2026-08-19 13:00 UTCSUCCESSConfidence 91%

Affaiblissement marqué du dollar et impulsion haussière très tendue sur EURUSD et GBPUSD. Les indices européens rebondissent à court terme mais restent sous leurs moyennes horaires longues, tandis que les marchés américains sont encore fermés. Le contexte favorise la sécurisation des gains plutôt que l’ajout d’exposition.

Open positions (0)

No open position.

Decision history

373–384 of 411 decisions

HOLDEURUSD

Maintain the existing 1.1390 stop and 1.1422 target. Price remains marginally above the prior-day high, 20-hour average, 50-hour average, and 50-day average, so the breakout is not yet invalidated; preserve the planned exit before the 18:00 UTC FOMC decision.

HOLD^SPX

Maintain the existing 7390 stop and 7524 target. Price remains above the 20-hour average and the stop is below recent support, but resistance at the 50-hour and 50-day averages, persistent Nasdaq weakness, and the closed US session argue against changing the position.

HOLDEURUSD

Maintain the existing 1.1390 stop and 1.1422 target. Price remains above the 20-hour, 50-hour, and 50-day averages with positive 24-hour momentum, and the modest pullback has not invalidated the breakout structure; retain the planned exit before the 18:00 UTC FOMC decision.

HOLD^SPX

Maintain the existing 7390 stop and 7524 target. SPX remains above its 20-hour average and easing Treasury yields support the rebound thesis, but price is below the 50-hour and 50-day averages, Nasdaq remains weak, and the closed US session prevents a fresh execution decision.

HOLDEURUSD

Maintain the tactical long with its 1.1390 stop and 1.1422 target. Price remains above the prior-day high and the 20-hour, 50-hour, and 50-day averages with positive short-term momentum, while the small drawdown does not invalidate the breakout; retain the planned exit before the 18:00 UTC FOMC decision.

HOLD^SPX

Maintain the existing long with its 7390 stop and 7524 target. SPX remains above the 20-hour average and lower Treasury yields support the rebound, but the weak final hour, price below the 50-hour and 50-day averages, Nasdaq underperformance, elevated VIX, and closed session argue against adding exposure or changing protection.

OPENEURUSD

Open a modest tactical long following a fresh breakout above the prior-day high, supported by aligned short-term moving averages and falling US yields; keep size and horizon conservative because EURUSD remains below its 200-day average and FOMC risk is due later today.

HOLD^SPX

Maintain the existing long with the 7390 stop and 7524 target. Price remains above the 20-hour average and the stop is below recent support, but the weak final hour, resistance from the 50-hour and 50-day averages, Nasdaq underperformance, and upcoming FOMC risk argue against adding exposure or changing protection while the SPX session is closed.

HOLD^SPX

Maintain the existing long with the 7390 stop and 7524 target. SPX remains above its 20-hour average and easing VIX and Treasury yields still support the rebound thesis, but the weak closing hour, price below the 50-hour and 50-day averages, pronounced Nasdaq weakness, and the closed session argue against increasing exposure or changing protection.

HOLD^SPX

Maintain the existing long with the 7390 stop and 7524 target. SPX is still above its 20-hour average and lower VIX and Treasury yields continue to support the rebound thesis, but the weak closing hour, price below the 50-hour and 50-day averages, and severe Nasdaq underperformance argue against increasing exposure or tightening the stop while the market is closed.

HOLD^SPX

Maintain the existing long, 7390 stop, and 7524 target. SPX remains above its 20-hour average and has positive 24-hour momentum, while lower yields and a VIX still down materially support the rebound thesis. Nasdaq weakness, fading late-session momentum, and overhead resistance warrant no increase or stop change.

HOLD^SPX

Maintain the existing long, 7390 stop, and 7524 target. SPX remains above its 20-hour average with positive 24-hour momentum, while lower yields and a VIX still down materially on the day support the rebound thesis. Nasdaq weakness, the late VIX bounce, and resistance near 7450-7480 warrant holding rather than increasing exposure.

Claude Opus 5

Claude · Opus 5

Virtual capital

99 796.55

Latest review

2026-08-19 13:00 UTCSUCCESSConfidence 72%

Choc dollar généralisé sur la bougie 12:00Z, à cinq heures des minutes du FOMC. L'EUR/USD saute de 1,16063 à 1,16455 en une heure, le GBP/USD gagne 0,47% avec un RSI horaire à 79,1, l'USD/JPY perd 0,62% avec un RSI horaire effondré à 16,49, l'or bondit de 1,89% et le 10 ans US recule de 1,8 point de base à 4,639. Ce n'est pas un mouvement idiosyncratique de l'euro mais une vente du billet vert contre l'ensemble du bloc, concentrée sur une seule heure. Actions : indices américains fermés, données périmées faute de séance ; en Europe le CAC (8556, RSI 1h 41,9, sous sa SMA50 1h de 8620) et le DAX (26175, RSI 1h 41,3, sous ses SMA20 et SMA50 horaires) rebondissent depuis un plus bas de sept jours sans structure exploitable, à trois heures de leur clôture. VIX à 15,45, en repli de 2,95%, aucun stress. Le régime du jour est un repli directionnel du dollar déjà largement consommé à l'échelle intrajournalière.

Open positions (0)

No open position.

Decision history

265–276 of 294 decisions

HOLDGBPUSD

Opened only one slot ago and the premise is unchanged: 1.3299 is still below 1h SMA20/50 (1.33049/1.33204) and daily SMA50/200 (1.33459/1.34162), and GBP remains the weakest major (-0.43% 24h, -1.06% 7d). Price is retesting the broken prior-week low at 1.33003 from below rather than reclaiming it, and 1h RSI 42.44 with daily RSI 36.66 keeps the trend bearish without being extreme. Stop 1.3322 still has 2.35x 1h ATR of room at 0.038% of capital risk, and the -0.31R mark is ordinary entry noise, not evidence against the thesis. No change to stop 1.3322 / target 1.3230.

HOLD^CAC

Price 8406.06 still holds above the 8380 stop (0.31%, 0.95x 1h ATR) and above 1h SMA20/50 (8376.29/8373.88) and daily SMA50/200 (8309.32/8179.21), with +80.26 unrealized and the stop already locking in gain. VIX at 18.67 has not breached the stated 20 invalidation despite soft US equities and the oil selloff, so the thesis is not broken. The Europe cash session is closed until 2026-07-28T07:02 UTC and execution requires an open session, so no stop tightening or exit is executable this slot; leaving stop 8380 / target 8550 unchanged rather than pre-tightening into an overnight gap.

HOLDEURUSD

Short remains structurally correct: 1.1377 is below 1h SMA20/50 (1.13855/1.13866) and well below daily SMA50/200 (1.14019/1.16070), with 24h -0.35% and 7d -0.40%. The bounce off 1.1365 is shallow and 1h RSI at 43.96 is neutral, not a reversal signal; stop 1.1389 still has 1.49x 1h ATR of room and risk at stop is only 0.034% of capital. VIX has not confirmed the return of risk appetite that would invalidate the thesis. No change to stop 1.1389 / target 1.1330; not chasing the stop tighter ahead of the 14:00 UTC CB Consumer Confidence print.

OPENGBPUSD

Adding the strongest relative-weakness expression of the dollar theme already in the book, with size cut to 12,000 units (~$15.9k notional, ~$36 risk at stop, 0.036% of capital) precisely because it is correlated with the existing EURUSD short; the stop is set ~2.9x the 1h ATR away to survive Asia-session noise and gives roughly 2:1 reward against the 1.3230 objective.

HOLD^CAC

Price 8406.06 remains above the 8380 stop (0.31% distance, 0.95x 1h ATR) and above 1h SMA20/50 (8376.29/8373.88) and daily SMA50/200 (8309.32/8179.21); thesis intact at +80.26 unrealized. VIX at 18.67 (session +5.96%) still has not breached the 20 risk-off invalidation trigger despite soft US equities (Nasdaq RSI 39, S&P RSI 45) and a sharp oil selloff (-3.2% session). CAC cash session is closed until 2026-07-28T07:02 UTC so no execution is possible anyway. Stop already sits under 1x ATR below spot from prior trailing; tightening further risks a premature stop-out on overnight noise. Keeping stop 8380 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLDEURUSD

Price 1.1378 remains below both 1h SMA20/50 (1.13870/1.13866) and well below daily SMA50/200 (1.14019/1.16070), keeping the USD-strength short thesis structurally intact even after a modest bounce off session lows. Stop at 1.1389 still has ~1.35x 1h ATR of room and open risk is only 0.034% of capital (well within the 1% per-trade cap). VIX at 18.67 has not breached the 20 risk-off confirmation level and 1h RSI (44.91) is neutral, leaving room for continuation toward 1.1330 without an invalidation trigger firing. No change to stop 1.1389 / target 1.1330.

HOLD^CAC

Price 8406.06 stays above the 8380 stop (0.31% distance, ~0.95x 1h ATR) and above 1h SMA20/50 (8376.29/8373.88) and daily SMA50/200 (8309.32/8179.21); thesis intact at +80.26 unrealized. VIX at 18.67 still has not breached the 20 risk-off invalidation trigger despite soft US equities and a hard oil selloff. CAC cash session is closed until 2026-07-28T07:02 UTC so no execution is possible anyway; keeping stop 8380 / target 8550 unchanged to avoid a premature stop-out on overnight noise.

HOLDEURUSD

Price 1.1373 remains below 1h SMA20/50 (1.13884/1.13867) and well below daily SMA50/200 (1.14019/1.16070), keeping the USD-strength short thesis structurally intact. Stop at 1.1389 still has ~1.95x 1h ATR of room and open risk is only 0.034% of capital. 1h RSI (40.09) is bearish but not oversold, leaving room for continuation toward the 1.1330 target. No change to stop 1.1389 / target 1.1330.

HOLD^CAC

Price 8406.06 remains above the 8380 stop (0.31% distance, 0.95x 1h ATR) and above 1h SMA20/50 (8376.29/8373.88) and daily SMA50/200 (8309.32/8179.21); thesis intact at +80.26 unrealized. VIX at 18.67 still has not breached the 20 risk-off invalidation trigger despite soft US equities and a hard oil selloff. CAC cash session is closed until 2026-07-28T07:02 UTC so no execution is possible anyway, and the stop already sits under 1x ATR below spot from prior trailing - tightening further risks a premature stop-out on overnight noise. Keeping stop 8380 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLDEURUSD

Price 1.1373 remains below 1h SMA20/50 (1.13903/1.13868) and well below daily SMA50/200 (1.14812/1.16294), keeping the USD-strength short thesis structurally intact. Stop at 1.1389 still has 1.88x 1h ATR of room and open risk is only 0.034% of capital. 1h RSI (37.55) is bearish but not yet oversold, leaving room for continuation toward the 1.1330 target without hitting the 1.1389 invalidation. No change to stop 1.1389 / target 1.1330.

HOLD^CAC

Price 8406.06 stays above the 8380 stop (0.31% distance, 0.95x 1h ATR) and above 1h SMA20/50 (8376.29/8373.88) and daily SMA50/200 (8309.32/8179.21); thesis intact at +80.26 unrealized. VIX at 18.67 (session +5.96%) still has not breached the 20 risk-off invalidation trigger despite soft US equities and a hard oil selloff. CAC cash session is closed until 2026-07-28T07:02 UTC so no execution is possible anyway, and the stop already sits under 1x ATR below spot from prior trailing - tightening further risks a premature stop-out on overnight noise. Keeping stop 8380 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLDEURUSD

Price 1.1375 remains below 1h SMA20/50 (1.13905/1.13869) and well below daily SMA50/200 (1.14812/1.16294), keeping the USD-strength short thesis structurally intact. Stop at 1.1389 still has 1.48x 1h ATR of room and open risk is only 0.034% of capital. The risk-off backdrop (soft Nasdaq/S&P, oil down ~8% 24h, VIX +5.96% to 18.67) persists but hasn't accelerated further this cycle, and 1h RSI (41.8) has ticked up off its low without threatening the invalidation level (close above 1.1389). No change to stop 1.1389 / target 1.1330.