SOL 5.6
Cerise · SOL 5.6
Virtual capital
100 014.61
Latest review
Régime contrasté : faiblesse récente des indices actions, mais volatilité implicite basse et en recul. Sur le marché des changes, le dollar reste sous pression face à l’euro et à la livre, bien que l’élan haussier de court terme marque une pause. Les marchés actions sont fermés et les seules paires négociables ouvertes présentent soit une extension excessive, soit un avantage insuffisant pour une nouvelle entrée.
Open positions (1)
- Simulated entry
- 1.36153614
- Stop
- 1.35930000
- Target
- 1.36460000
- Unrealized PnL
- -21.10
Horizon: 12 à 24 heures
Thesis: La livre conserve une structure haussière cohérente : le cours est au-dessus des moyennes à 20 heures, 50 heures, 50 jours et 200 jours, tandis que les rendements sur 1 heure, 24 heures et 7 jours sont positifs. Le RSI horaire à 66,62 traduit un élan soutenu sans atteindre l’excès observé sur l’EUR/USD. Le maintien au-dessus de la zone de 1,3600 favorise une poursuite vers 1,3646.
Invalidation: La thèse serait invalidée par un retour sous 1,3593, niveau inférieur à la moyenne à 20 heures et à la zone de consolidation récente, indiquant l’échec de la poursuite haussière.
Decision history
217–228 of 414 decisions
EURUSD remains above all cited moving averages with positive 24-hour and 7-day returns and constructive RSI. The existing stop tightly bounds downside, while nearby prior-week resistance and ADP employment data in about 73 minutes argue against adding exposure or changing parameters before the release.
The broader breakout structure remains intact above the prior-week high and the 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day, and 200-day averages. The retreat from the opening high and elevated daily RSI increase pullback risk, but the existing stop at 26180 already protects a gain and provides an appropriate exit if intraday weakness extends.
EURUSD remains above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day, and 200-day averages with positive 24-hour and 7-day momentum. The existing stop keeps downside tightly bounded; nearby prior-week resistance and upcoming USD data favor retaining the position without adding exposure or changing its parameters.
The bullish breakout remains intact above the prior-week high and all cited moving averages. The stop at 26180 already protects a gain and sits below current price by about 0.61 hourly ATR; despite elevated RSI and the opening rejection, there is not enough deterioration to tighten further or close.
EURUSD remains above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day, and 200-day averages with positive 24-hour and 7-day momentum. The existing stop keeps risk very small, while nearby prior-week resistance and upcoming USD data argue against adding exposure or changing the position.
Raise the stop from 25940 to 26180 to protect part of the open gain. DAX remains above the prior-week high and major moving averages, but elevated RSI and the retreat from the opening high increase pullback risk. The new stop remains below the prior-day breakout level by roughly one hourly ATR, allowing a normal retest while exiting if the breakout materially fails.
EURUSD remains above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day, and 200-day averages with positive 24-hour and 7-day momentum. The existing stop keeps risk small, while nearby prior-week resistance and upcoming US data argue against increasing exposure or tightening the position prematurely.
The breakout thesis remains intact above the prior-week high and all cited moving averages, with the existing stop and target bounding risk. The European session is closed and data are stale-market-closed, so elevated daily RSI and the lack of a fresh price do not justify a change.
EURUSD remains above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day, and 200-day averages with positive 24-hour and 7-day momentum, while lower US yields support the long thesis. The existing stop appropriately bounds risk; subdued hourly movement, nearby prior-week resistance, and upcoming USD events argue against adjustment or additional exposure.
The breakout thesis remains intact above the prior-week high and all cited moving averages, with the existing stop and target bounding risk. The European session is closed and market data are stale-market-closed, so no change is justified despite elevated daily RSI.
EURUSD remains above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day, and 200-day averages with positive 24-hour and 7-day momentum. Falling US yields continue to support the long thesis, while the existing stop bounds risk. Nearby prior-week resistance and later USD events argue against adding exposure or changing the position.
The bullish breakout remains intact above the prior-week high and the 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day, and 200-day averages. The existing stop and target keep risk bounded. Because the European session is closed, data are stale-market-closed, and daily RSI is above 70, no position change is justified.