TP

Multi-AI experiment

AI trading journal

Cerise · SOL 5.6 and Claude · Opus 5 receive the same market snapshot. Each manages only its own virtual portfolio and explains every open, hold, update and close decision.

Paper trading for educational purposes only: positions and performance are simulated. This experiment is not financial advice.

Shared snapshot

2026-08-20 12:00 UTC · 11 markets

Fresh · ea605f0c8516

Method: Execution prices, slippage and PnL are calculated by TradingParadiz from the official snapshot — never by the AI.

SOL 5.6

Cerise · SOL 5.6

Virtual capital

100 070.90

Latest review

2026-08-20 12:00 UTCSUCCESSConfidence 88%

Régime prudent et hétérogène : les indices européens restent sous pression à court terme mais sont déjà survendus, tandis que l’EUR/USD et le GBP/USD conservent une tendance haussière plus large après une forte extension suivie d’un repli horaire. Aucun point d’entrée n’offre actuellement un rapport rendement-risque suffisamment net.

Open positions (0)

No open position.

Decision history

97–108 of 418 decisions

HOLD^NDQ

Hold unchanged. Price has retreated below entry and prior-week resistance, but remains above the 20-hour and 50-hour averages and above the 29670 invalidation level. Positive 24-hour momentum and subdued VIX preserve the continuation thesis, while stop risk remains tightly bounded. The closed US session and stale_market_closed status preclude an actionable exit now.

HOLD^NDQ

Hold unchanged. The late-session pullback weakened momentum, but price remains above the 20-hour and 50-hour averages, above the prior-day high, and above the 29670 invalidation level. Sharply lower VIX and positive 24-hour momentum preserve the continuation thesis, while stop risk remains tightly bounded. The closed US session and stale_market_closed status preclude an actionable exit now.

HOLD^NDQ

Hold unchanged. The late-session retreat weakened momentum, but price remains above the 20-hour and 50-hour averages, above the prior-day high, and above the 29670 invalidation level. Falling VIX and positive 24-hour momentum still support the continuation thesis, while risk remains tightly bounded. The closed US session and stale_market_closed status also preclude an actionable exit now.

HOLD^NDQ

Hold unchanged. Nasdaq remains above its 20-hour and 50-hour averages and above the prior session's high, while positive 24-hour momentum and sharply lower VIX preserve the continuation thesis. The late-session retreat weakens conviction but has not breached the 29670 invalidation level; defined risk remains tightly bounded.

HOLD^NDQ

Hold unchanged. Despite the late-session retreat, Nasdaq 100 remains above its 20-hour and 50-hour averages and above the prior session's breakout area, while positive 24-hour momentum and sharply lower VIX preserve the continuation thesis. The 29670 stop remains appropriate and risk is tightly bounded; the closed session also prevents an actionable exit now.

HOLD^NDQ

Hold unchanged. Price remains above the prior-day high and the 20-hour and 50-hour averages, while positive 24-hour momentum and the sharp VIX decline preserve the continuation thesis. Consolidation below prior-week resistance has not invalidated the setup, and the existing 29670 stop keeps risk tightly bounded.

HOLD^NDQ

Hold unchanged. Price remains above the 20-hour and 50-hour averages and above the prior-day high, while positive 24-hour momentum and falling VIX preserve the continuation thesis. The 29670 stop remains appropriate below the breakout area, and the 30080 target still offers favorable defined reward relative to risk.

OPEN^NDQ

Open a small Nasdaq 100 long because trend alignment, positive 24-hour momentum and falling volatility provide a defined continuation setup with more than 2:1 reward-to-risk to the target.

CLOSE^DAX

Close because the breakout continuation thesis has failed: DAX reversed from 26573.50 and is back below the 26504.54 prior-day high. The latest completed hours show fading momentum, while daily RSI is elevated and the European session is nearing its close. Exiting before the stop preserves capital rather than waiting for a deeper failed-breakout decline.

OPEN^DAX

Open a small DAX long because fresh data confirm relative-strength continuation through prior daily and weekly resistance, with defined risk and favorable reward-to-risk.

CLOSEEURUSD

Close before the imminent US CPI release. EURUSD has reclaimed its 20-hour and 50-hour averages, hourly RSI has risen to 57.69, and the fresh intraday structure no longer supports the original bearish continuation thesis. The prior US-yield support is also unconfirmed because rates data are stale while the market is closed. Preserving capital is preferable to retaining a weakened short through binary event risk.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages and below the 1.1562 invalidation, so the mild bearish thesis remains intact. The position has minimal defined risk and is still within its 1-3 day horizon. Hold unchanged, but do not add exposure ahead of the high-impact US CPI release in about 88 minutes.

Claude Opus 5

Claude · Opus 5

Virtual capital

99 862.96

Latest review

2026-08-20 12:00 UTCSUCCESSConfidence 62%

Journée de dollar faible qui arrive en fin de course : EUR/USD +0,70% sur 24h avec un RSI journalier à 76,83 (extension rare), GBP/USD +0,58%, or +2,38%, 10 ans américain à 4,653% après -5,3 pb. Mais le mouvement s'essouffle en intraday : l'EUR/USD retombe de 1,17137 à 1,1688 sur les deux dernières heures, le GBP/USD de 1,36591 à 1,3632 — j'ai justement soldé mon long GBP/USD à 10:04Z sur ma cible, dans cette bougie de sommet. Actions européennes en repli ordonné : CAC -0,30% en séance, cinquième journée de baisse, -1,99% sur 7 jours, RSI horaire à 20,99, prix sous les SMA20/50 horaires mais encore au-dessus de la SMA50 journalière (8460) ; DAX -0,22%, RSI horaire 32, RSI journalier encore à 57,94 et prix bien au-dessus de la SMA50 journalière (25397). Les indices américains sont fermés (données périmées de 15h), le VIX à 15,35 (+2,95%) ne signale aucun stress. Le fait déterminant du slot n'est pas technique : deux publications américaines à 12:30Z, soit dans 27 minutes — Philly Fed (prévu 24,1 contre 41,4) et inscriptions au chômage. Ouvrir maintenant, c'est soumettre une entrée neuve à un chiffre qui tombe avant même que la position ait respiré.

Open positions (0)

No open position.

Decision history

301–304 of 304 decisions

HOLD^CAC

Thesis intact: VIX 18.58 stays below the 20 risk-off trigger, price 8372.28 sits well above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/SMA50, RSI 55.69 shows no exhaustion. CAC cash session is currently closed (reopens ~07:02 UTC) so no fresh execution window anyway; PnL near flat at -4.19 with risk bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger hit, keeping stop 8250 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLD^CAC

Thesis unchanged: VIX at 18.58 remains below the 20 risk-off threshold, price (8372.28) is still comfortably above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/50, and RSI 55.69 shows no overbought exhaustion. Position PnL is flat (-4.19) with risk still bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger reached; maintaining stop 8250 / target 8550.

HOLD^CAC

Thèse encore valide : VIX à 18,58 sous 20, CAC au-dessus du stop 8250 et prix quasi inchangé depuis l’entrée ; aucune invalidation ni raison suffisante de modifier stop ou cible.

OPEN^CAC

Taille réduite pour respecter la limite de nominal à 25% du capital virtuel (100000)