Oil: risk premium is back, and traders must look beyond the barrel
Oil does not only move energy stocks. A crude shock can revive inflation, the dollar, rates, transport and corporate margins. It is a full macro topic, not just a commodity line.
Oil does not only move energy stocks. A crude shock can revive inflation, the dollar, rates, transport and corporate margins. It is a full macro topic, not just a commodity line.
Bitcoin ETF outflows remind traders that institutions can also sell. But the lack of true panic in market structure keeps the scenario open: healthy flush or start of a real crypto risk-off?
The idea of a quickly dovish Fed is losing ground. Sticky inflation, resilient jobs and elevated yields put duration, the dollar and growth stocks back under watch.
US bond yields hit a one-year high. Inflation creeps back, driven by oil and tariffs. Yet futures markets still price Fed rate cuts. Decoding this divergence.
BTC drops from \$82k to \$76,800 (-6%) and crypto ETFs see nearly \$1B in outflows. On the other side: Strategy buys \$2B more, Abu Dhabi raises its stake 16%, and the White House prepares the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
Oil climbs back (+3% over two weeks) amid Iran/Trump tensions and IEA's warning on commercial stocks depleting fast. Here's what's moving and why it's spilling into forex and bonds.
Perpetual funding rates give a direct signal on directional positioning in crypto. How to read them without getting fooled.
The 1.0800 level on EUR/USD has become a major psychological pivot. Decoding the forces at play.
NFP Friday, CPI Wednesday, three Fed speakers. Walkthrough.
BTC has been compressing for 3 weeks in a symmetrical triangle. Honest technical read.